Projections of temperature-related excess mortality under climate change scenarios
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Projections of temperature-related excess mortality under climate change scenarios
Background Climate change can directly affect human health by varying exposure to non-optimal outdoor temperature. However, evidence on this direct impact at a global scale is limited, mainly due to issues in modelling and projecting complex and highly heterogeneous epidemiological relationships across different populations and climates. Methods We collected observed daily time series of mean...
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BACKGROUND Most studies that have assessed impacts on mortality of future temperature increases have relied on a small number of simulations and have not addressed the variability and sources of uncertainty in their mortality projections. OBJECTIVES We assessed the variability of temperature projections and dependent future mortality distributions, using a large panel of temperature simulatio...
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Results of assessment of the future climate change impacts is associated with some uncertainties. Considering the range of uncertainties increases reliability of the results. In this study, climate change impacts on daily precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature of Sira basin are assessed using LARS-WG model, for 2036-65 period. Accordingly, uncertainty of new emissions scenarios (RCP2.6،...
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BACKGROUND Heat-related mortality is a matter of great public health concern, especially in the light of climate change. Although many studies have found associations between high temperatures and mortality, more research is needed to project the future impacts of climate change on heat-related mortality. OBJECTIVES We conducted a systematic review of research and methods for projecting futur...
متن کاملProjected temperature-related deaths in ten large U.S. metropolitan areas under different climate change scenarios.
BACKGROUND There is an established U-shaped association between daily temperature and mortality. Temperature changes projected through the end of century are expected to lead to higher rates of heat-related mortality but also lower rates of cold-related mortality, such that the net change in temperature-related mortality will depend on location. OBJECTIVES We quantified the change in heat-, c...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: The Lancet Planetary Health
سال: 2017
ISSN: 2542-5196
DOI: 10.1016/s2542-5196(17)30156-0